Mike Huckabee

I know a lot of Republicans are amazed that President Obama is still as high in the polls as he is, considering the dismal state of the economy. They keep asking, “Who wants four more years of THIS?” Well, a new Quinnipiac University poll reveals who wants more: single women. The poll found a huge “marriage gap.” Romney leads Obama 51 to 38 percent among married women. But Obama makes it back because single women swoon over him by 54 to 34 percent. John McCain beat Obama by only 5 points among married women, so Obama has lost a lot of ground there. Married women tend to be older and more conservative, but they’re also more in touch with economic realities like taxes and health tax costs, because they’re focused on budgeting for their families, and they aren’t happy. But the typical single woman who still likes Obama is more concerned with how much the government gets involved in social issues, like same sex marriage and reproductive rights. You probably saw her on the Internet; the Democrats call her “Julia.”

Meanwhile, Matthew Dowd at ABC dug deep into the numbers to figure out exactly which undecided swing demographic will have the most power in determining the winner. He found that the key will lie with about 10 percent of the voters who like Obama personally but not his performance, and who dislike Romney personally, but think the country is on the wrong track. And guess what? Two-thirds of those key undecided voters are white, middle-aged, middle-class women. So expect to see a lot of Ann Romney at the GOP convention, reassuring other women about what a great guy her husband is.

This is from yesterday's Huckabee Report.