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February 27, 2024

Interesting post-mortem on the South Carolina GOP primary, and a warning to GOP voters for the upcoming primaries: The media and various Never Trumpers made quite the deal out of Nikki Haley getting nearly 40% of the vote, trumpeting it as “40% of Republicans don’t want Trump.” But considering it was an open primary where you don’t have to be a party member to vote in the party’s primary, and Biden was basically running unopposed in the Democratic primary, I asked rhetorically if her voters were all really Republicans. Answer: Not hardly.

Raheem J. Kassam of the National Pulse examined AP poll data and found something odd: about 4 out of 10 Haley voters voted for Biden in 2020. This makes sense because not only was Haley encouraging Democrats to vote for her to stop Trump, but a well-funded network backed by Never Trumpers and former Obama operatives also spent big to turn out Democrats for Haley. One sent out over 200,000 texts to encourage Democrats to vote for Haley to harm Trump.

Robert Schwartz, the co-founder of one of these election interference groups called PrimaryPivot, told Politico, “We only care about damaging Donald Trump. For better or for worse, the only thing you can do if you really want to stop Trump is to vote for Haley.”

Kassam estimates that if you subtract all the Biden supporters who artificially propped up Haley just to harm Trump, her support in her home state GOP primary likely wouldn’t have broken 25%. And if you think any of them would vote for her in the November general election, I have some oceanfront property in Arkansas that I’d love to sell you.

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