Winning in North Carolina

Less than 2 minute read

September 12, 2019

In a much-ballyhooed House special election Tuesday in North Carolina’s 9th District, Republican Dan Bishop won a narrow 50.8%-48.6% victory over Democrat Dan McCready. The media had blown it up as a harbinger of the 2020 election, claiming that if the Democrat won, it could mean a “blue wave” and possible losses for Trump and the GOP Senate. As it is, they’re trying to spin the Dems’ narrow loss as a sign of leftwing enthusiasm and eroding GOP support, since that district went for Trump by 12 points in 2016. Remember, according to the media, every Democratic win is a sign of rising Democratic support, while every Republican win is either an outlier or voter fraud.

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The truth is this race was hardly indicative of any national trends.  It represented an extremely unusual set of circumstances, including a scandal that forced a special election, massive media coverage, an off-year election with no higher race coattails, and ridiculous levels of spending (over $6 million on each side by the campaigns and outside groups combined), all of which can affect turnout and distort the results. To show how unique this race was, in another special election in North Carolina’s 3rd district, the Republican won by 62%-to-38%. That exactly matches the partisan breakdown of the district. There were zero defections on either side.     

A couple of actual takeaways from the North Carolina races:

By snarking that it took a “last-minute Trump rally” to help Bishop win, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairwoman Cheri Bustos was tacitly admitting that Trump is not the unpopular pariah the media keep telling us he is and he can still fire up the base to go to the polls. 

Also, few people who are trying to use the 9th District race to predict the next election are mentioning the biggest thing about it that makes it completely inapplicable to the 2020 Presidential race: Democrat McCready was a fresh-faced ex-Marine and Iraq War veteran running on a platform of moderation, pocketbook issues, and working across the aisle to end partisanship and solve problems for America.

If you can point out even one Democratic Presidential candidate with a remote chance of winning the nomination who is in any way comparable to that, then I’ll worry that Trump voters might support him/her instead. 


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Comments 1-15 of 15

  • Ed Thompson

    09/12/2019 05:01 PM

    Due to the actions of certain politicians and some so called law “enforcement” officials we have decided not to take anymore vacations in North Carolina on the Outer Banks because of these people releasing illegal immigrants and others,back into the public to carry on their actions. Showing less respect for the laws of our Great Nation and catering,pandering, to a group of people in an attempt at votes is completely anti American in our opinion and we will not be spending our hard earned money to help pay the salaries of these people who seem to defy the laws that are in place for the protection of the legal citizens of this country. Till those folks get back to common sense we cannot be contributing to them by spending money in their state! My family’s safety comes first.

  • Dr.Bob Brunner (Robert William Brunner, M.D.)

    09/12/2019 03:48 PM

    Dear Mike and all who read,
    I was and am very, very pleased that Mr. Bishop won the special election in North Carolina!! What does it mean about the 2020 election and the re-election of President Donald J. Trump? I think from an objective point of view it does mean that the excitement that President Trump's base had in his rally the night before does show---in my opinion---that the President does have a tremendous influence on the people like I have never seen in my 81 years following American national politics!! He has not lost any of his influence with the folks! No, in my opinion his influence has increased ….if that is at all possible!! For not being ever into politics before he ran for this office......not even "dog catcher".....he has a unique "touch" with the people of this country----no matter where he goes!! And I see many young women always sitting behind the podium when he speaks!!…..Dr. Bob Brunner in rural Urbana, Illinois

  • Sondra Todd

    09/12/2019 01:36 PM

    I love your show please please please keep on encouraging all of us Americans I love it we need you!!! God is our only hope!

  • Jerry

    09/12/2019 01:18 PM

    Will not watch tonite the loony Left program however I do wonder if Yang is still going to give Americans $1000 a month if so will he tax it at 125% which would be about right for the lunatics way of thinking and the sad portion of that people will line up up to vote for it!!!!!!!!!!!!! Go LOONS

  • Mike Horst

    09/12/2019 12:49 PM

    Mike...I tend to think the country is so partisan right now that the 2020 Presidential election could end up going very much the same as it did in 2016. In my heart of hearts I want to give the Democrats the biggest "butt kicking" they have ever received but I question that enough registered voters are paying close enough attention to see the vicious, mean, out right lying, corruption of the Democratic party. Especially the Mueller investigation and the Kavanaugh Supreme Court confirmation, Those two examples alone should be enough to assure that not a single Democrat is elected to the Senate or House. I pray every day for this country and that God's will and justice will prevail. God is in charge and his justice will be brought in due time. Maybe not soon enough for my liking! Thanks for your great insight Mike...I read them everyday!

  • Shirley Green

    09/12/2019 12:46 PM

    Thank you for comparing apples to apples and watermelons to watermelons. So often the media compares apples to watermelons and then tries to convince us that they are absurdly the same! Your explanation on the harbinger effect of these Carolina election results shows logic versus the Democrat’s propaganda. Thank you for being consistent and checking the facts. From Florida.

  • Barbara Price

    09/12/2019 12:30 PM

    TRUMP/PENCE will be reelected in Nov 2020. I have no doubt.
    We must vote more numerous than in 2016. The democrats will again rob the cemeteries like never before!! KAG

  • John Hawkins

    09/12/2019 11:37 AM

    Why don't we hear about known and continually suspected Democrat voter fraud, like Detroit in the 2016 election which you had reported on. There are many known instances of 100% of the votes in districts going for Obama and more than 100% of registered voters voting in districts that Obama won. People should be in jail for allowing that to happen.

  • Jerry Korba

    09/12/2019 11:29 AM

    Good point about McCready however he is the wrong person for that outfit on the Left unless he has lost all his values to be an American he would be just another drain on the taxpayers. As a Marine he knows how to fall in line and work for the team and that is what he has to do can't change the spots on this cat. He would be a loser in so many ways with the exception of getting taxpayer money nothing would change for him except he would become the enemy of America.

  • rodney burke

    09/12/2019 11:05 AM

    How many times have you said "They are just plain wrong?" This is usual. The dems are wrong so often it's not worth believing them at all. Libs spent 6 mil on a inconsequential house race. What would they and the queers spend on a Pelosi or Waters race? 20? 30 mil. Time ti start using the work "desperate" on a regular basis.

    As you and Rush point out endlessly, the Drivebys think EVERYone thinks like they do and they get polls saying "XX" and they haven't asked people in the heartland, in FL in the Deep south. This is funny to watch them fail once again with the delusion that every one thinks like they do. I think as you will point out, we conservatives should take everything the left says and call it projection and delusional thinking. You know it's funny, I've NEVER had anyone poll me asking about Trump. That is unless its the republican party. Like everything else, the left just makes it up. They have nothing so they have to lie. Now, Liz, has definitely gone off the deep end. She MUST be stopped. End of statement. Time for GITMO. We need to send a ton of communists there for safe keeping.

  • Wilburn G Overstreet

    09/12/2019 11:00 AM

    Governor Huckabee, How do we go about getting Term Limits in Washington? Plus, we want them on the same medical program that we Seniors are on. Wilburn Overstreet

  • James Barone

    09/12/2019 10:35 AM

    I fully agree with your last paragraph. Wish we could get past the name calling and get to work.

  • Marlene Helfrick

    09/12/2019 10:33 AM

    The left is trying to take power by winning every state election. Unfortunely for them more people are waking up to the lies and fraud perpetuated by the fascist demonazi party.

  • Laura Goode

    09/12/2019 10:27 AM

    I think Bishop ran in the district that is known for voter fraud, as was the situation with our governor's race......... suddenly found votes, all democrat, at the last minute!

  • William Bourne

    09/12/2019 10:15 AM

    I don't care what platform McCready was running on, it was all a lie because if he had won, once he got to Washington he would have learned from day one you toe the Democrat line or else! In this case enough voters didn't believe him!