Catching up from Taiwan

October 14, 2019

I’ve been traveling for the last couple of days (at this writing, I’m in Taiwan, where the locals are giving me some great insights about the China-Hong Kong situation), so let’s catch up on a few stories that happened while I was on planes or stuck in airports with only CNN and no reliable news sources.

Speaking of CNN, last Thursday, they held another puffball townhall for Democratic Presidential candidates, this time to help them all suck up to the LGBTQ++etc.-ad infinitum lobby. If this keeps up, I might have to change my opinion of CNN.  By giving the Dems so much “Give ‘em enough rope” free air time in which to show their true colors, they might be inadvertently doing more to help Donald Trump than a whole year of Sean Hannity shows. 

The townhall was, frankly, a fiasco, marked by various top level Democratic Presidential hopefuls endorsing “transition therapy” (i.e., giving dangerous chemicals and surgery to kids too young to know their own street addresses.)  Someday, and I hope it’s very soon, society will come to its senses and look back on this as the horrifying child abuse that it is, the way we now are appalled by female genital mutilation. 

But that was only the tip of the iceberg of the lunacy on display for 4-1/2 loooong hours. When the audience wasn’t acting as if they were at a crowd-participation production of “The Rocky Horror Show,” we had Elizabeth Warren claiming she would let a nine-year-old trans child vet her Secretary of Education… a lot of word salad about preferred pronouns…Joe Biden telling one of his fuzzy anecdotes about the first time he discovered that men could love each other…and the biggest news of the night: “Beto” O’Rourke declaring that if he became President, he would revoke the tax-exempt status of any church that refused to replace its sacred beliefs with the Book of Beto and consecrate same-sex marriages. 

Again, as with CNN, we might own a debt of gratitude to “Beto” O’Rourke for inadvertently helping to reelect Trump.  He has apparently realized he’s not going to be President, so he’s instead become the Democratic Party’s screaming Id, uncontrollably blurting out all the innermost thoughts that his fellow Democrats have tried to keep hidden for decades, especially during election years.  H**l, yes, we’re going to confiscate your guns!  Darn tootin’, we’re gonna raise your taxes!  You bet your bippy we’re gonna do away with national borders and immigration laws!  And make bank on it, we’re gonna rape the First Amendment along with the Second by forcing churches to replace the Bible with our “progressive” social agenda or else lose their tax-exempt status! 

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/beto-church-of-tax-exempt-status-gay-marriage

While the other candidates were hesitant to put their extremism and contempt for people of faith right out in the open, they made it clear in subtler ways.  For instance, Warren’s obviously scripted response to what she would say to a voter who told her, “I’m old-fashioned, and my faith teaches me that marriage is between one man and one woman.”  Warren replied, “Well, I’m going to assume it’s a guy who said that.  And I’m going to say, ‘Then just marry one woman — I’m cool with that…Assuming you can find one.”

The audience whooped as if Oprah had just given them all free cars, and the liberal Twittersphere erupted in “You go, girl!’s,” but even the Washington Post recognized that as a dangerously disrespectful slam on many millions of faith voters – first, with the assumption that only a guy would hold that belief, and second, with the condescending insult.  Those who like to think of Liz Warren as Hillary 2.0 got some evidence with that: like Hillary 1.0, she cluelessly insults the “deplorable” voters to their faces, and she will be shocked when she loses to Trump.  

You don’t have to trust me, a conservative and former Baptist pastor, to believe how bad this radical rodeo was.  Here’s a write-up from a liberal lesbian writer who declared that the big winner of that circus was President Trump:

https://www.thestranger.com/slog/2019/10/11/41658502/the-winner-of-the-lgbtq-town-hall-donald-trump

It was so cringe-inducing, even “Saturday Night Live,” which of late seemed to think its job was to defeat Trump rather than be funny, couldn’t resist mocking it as their opening sketch.  Now, that’s a serious fail.

https://youtu.be/VNjZHZ7kpM0

-----------------------------

Last week, the media had a field day with a Fox News poll that allegedly showed 51% of Americans think President Trump should be impeached and removed.  I didn’t mention it at the time because I wanted to wait to see the internals.  Also, I didn’t believe it for a second, even though it was taken at the height of Ukrainemania, before the “whistleblower” yarn started to unravel, and would have amounted to asking a jury to render its verdict after hearing only the prosecution’s opening statement.

Well, now we know the internals and the provenance of the poll, and I think it’s safe to assume my nose for bad polls was functioning properly.  The poll sample, which was too small to mean anything anyway, also greatly oversampled Democrats and under-represented Independents, who lean toward Trump.  The poll sample was 48% Democrats, 40% Republicans and 12 % other.  The actual registration breakdown is 31% Democrats, 29% Republicans, 38% Independents. 

https://www.westernjournal.com/now-appears-fox-news-trump-poll-setup-way-trump-never-win/

These kind of polls aren’t meant to tell us what the public is thinking; they’re meant to influence what the public is thinking.  This is one of many reasons why I discourage people from paying too much attention to polls, especially this far out, but even on election eve.  Back in 2016, I was one of very few commentators who predicted a Trump win well in advance.  Some pundits thought I was just happy-talking the troops, but no: it was based on looking deeper at the bogus polls that were promising a Hillary landslide. 

If you don’t believe me, let’s turn back the clock to this post from my newsletter from late October of 2016, a few weeks before Trump’s “surprise” election:

 

* * *

 

“…One of the big stories over the weekend is how dire the polls look for Trump.  The RCP average of polls has her up nearly 6 points.  We might as well cancel the election!  All you Republicans just forget about going to vote and start packing for the reeducation camps instead!

Well, chill out.  The average of garbage polls is still garbage.  Several of the most accurate tracking polls from the last election show Trump either even or slightly ahead.  Democratic pollster Pat Caddell, who’s been analyzing polls for decades, says the polls are all over the place and ‘something isn’t adding up.’  He said he senses that on Election Day, Hillary will either glide into the White House or ‘we’re headed for one of the greatest shocks in American politics.’  And maybe what’s not adding up is the sample numbers.  I told you last week about several polls that were highly touted by the media but that wildly oversampled Democrats.  Like a poll showing Hillary up 5 points in Arizona from a sample that was 57% Democrat in a state with 33% Democratic registration. 

But party affiliation isn’t the only way to jigger polls.  Thanks to the latest WikiLeaks document dump, we know that Hillary’s campaign has been conspiring with pollsters to demoralize Republicans by oversampling Hillary supporters.  Not just in easily-spotted ways, by just oversampling registered Democrats, but by also oversampling Democratic-leaning demographics, like African-Americans or residents of heavily-Democratic regions.  These are things that aren’t typically reported in the internals of polls, but they can heavily influence the outcome…” 

* * *

And that’s why you’re better off reading my little newsletter than listening to CNN or MSNBC.

 

 

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Comments 1-25 of 34

  • Mike Horst

    10/16/2019 10:48 AM

    Mike...These days I record everything on my DVR so I can watch anything I want without listening to commercials. Then delete all programs I don't want to watch. I recorded the CNN Democrat so called "Debate" last night. After about 30 minutes of recording it I brought it up on my DVR to watch it which is my normal practice so I don't have to watch commercials. What is the first thing the moderator brings up but a question to allow the Democrat candidates to Bash Trump! Guess where that recording went promply? THE TRASH! I suspect that a lot of Trump supporters are like me...News Flash to Dems!! Quit bashing Trump...Its a Huge Turn Off!!

  • Joe Broadway

    10/15/2019 04:00 PM

    Mr. Huckabee thank you and you grade out to a B+. You provide the most accurate and informative information regarding politics and how dishonest the democratic politicians truly are with truthful examples of their behavior. Now if you can make them be quiet and disappear you will get A++++++++.

  • Nancy Pekera

    10/15/2019 02:41 PM

    If Hillary was conspiring with the pollsters to provide phony numbers in order to demoralize republicans (and I'm not surprised), then she made the fatal mistake of falling for her propaganda. She started believing her own phony poll numbers, as did the rest of the liberal media. In the end, the only one that was demoralized was her and her supporters, as they sat back in their chairs in shock (some even cried) and asked each other WHAT HAPPENED?? One Fox news "election tracker" even offered his opinion (to Megan) that "the polls were actually correct, but then the undecideds all swayed toward Trump in the last two weeks before the election." How ridiculous. Even though they knew what was going on, they still pretended to be clueless. One person on Fox did reveal the truth. He said 'no one that supported Trump had anything to say to the Pollsters. They remained silent and would not respond to all the polls. They kept their opinions to themselves until election day." Megan immediately responded with "Trump supporters SHY? I have never SEEN a SHY Trump supporter." She knew that was not what he meant at all, but she had to throw her barbs wherever she could. She was furious with Trump supporters and her animosity was clearly apparent in everything she said on election night. She even started talking about how the markets were all crashing due to a possible Trump presidency. She thought maybe she could scare his remaining supporters who had not yet voted into turning around and going home. CNN was reporting on the same thing - FEAR - CRASHING MARKETS.... The END OF THE WORLD WAS AT HAND. They were all so bitter that he had won. Now, after all that... here we are. Best economy in 50 years... lowest unemployment in 50 years.. the chains of NAFTA have been lifted and companies are returning to the US. The wall is going up ... to stop the flow of not only illegals, but the flow of drugs and human smuggling coming over the board on a daily basis. And most importantly, Jerusalem has finally been recognized as the capital of Israel, and the UN is being moved from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. I see the Lord's hand in all that is happening. And now the Dems are trying one more last desperate attempt to stop our President before he completely destroys their socialistic plans. I'm waiting in patience and prayer as I watch the Lord's hand continue to work. He shines his light on the evil and reveals it to the world for what it really is. The spiders in their webs will all flee when the light of the Lord shines on them. Let us all remain in prayer that the Lord will continue to hold up our President, his family, and this country.

  • Buddy McLaughlin

    10/15/2019 12:48 PM

    Please advise an unbiased news app that is free I trust you keep up good work thanks

  • Bettye Martinez

    10/15/2019 12:14 PM

    President Trump will serve 4 more years thanks to the idiots that are running against him. There are no legitimate candidates in the field that even come close to being in the same class as he is. Thank God he's a shoe in! 4 more years is what we need for him to finish his job. And a great job it's been too!

  • Emma Lambert

    10/15/2019 09:27 AM

    I pray President Trump wins the 2020 election. He is persecuted just like our Lord Jesus Christ. It is scary to even think that a democrat might win this election..

  • Rodney Salisbury

    10/15/2019 12:36 AM

    Placing the Polls to the side; what concerns me most is how the Left is getting away with using our tax dollars to try and influence an election both past and future. How the Left and some RINOs are trying to subpoena Bar and the other investigators to prevent the eminent indictments on the whole deep state crew

  • Chris Carter

    10/14/2019 09:40 PM

    You are so right. Ino longer watch any mainstream media. These days your newsletter and related links are my primary source for understanding what is happening. Thank you for your being an excellent resource.

  • Mike Horst

    10/14/2019 08:37 PM

    Mike thank you for this article on polls. I have long thought that the press and pollsters are bias and rig their polls by doing them in demographics to support their own bias.

  • Julie Smids

    10/14/2019 08:35 PM

    God bless you Mike we always appreciate your many times humorous insight into all of these issues thank you so much!!!

  • Ruby Howell

    10/14/2019 07:51 PM

    The Democrats are so far left it sounds like a cartoon from"far side cartoon". The make no sense in what "they would do if they became "President"." If America doesn't wake up we will be heading down a downward spiral like all other countries that are socialist leadership in control.

  • Lawrence E. Foster

    10/14/2019 07:26 PM

    Governor Mike: Rather than rely on polls, ever since the 2004 election i have relied on listening to the volume and shrillness of the democrats and MSM (but I repeat myself) to guage who will win. I noted in the 2004 elections the louder and shriller the dems got, the more likely W would win, and that has held true ever since. Given the volume and ear-piercing tone of the dems now, Trump is a walk-in. (and that is good).

  • Deborah Mitchell

    10/14/2019 06:37 PM

    Gov. Huckabee, I always look forward to your posts. I know they’re always factual and accurate. Thank you for your continued support of President Trump & the truth!

  • Jerry Korba

    10/14/2019 05:28 PM

    My My How can anybody take these zombie like Senators Representatives of our Congress seriously while they run for the highest lawful position in the free world? One thing about China North Korea Iran they sensor what their people can view, for me I say thanks. The people of the Left are so embarrassing I could only hope this garbage isn't being viewed by the majority of the world. I suspect these people may have had a partial lobotomy performed on them while George Soros had them in a trance. The same goes for Antia Black Lives Matter groups they spit on people burn garments in the streets the Mayors have the police stand down. people put masks on 6 or 7 of them beat a older person or women throw rocks bottles what ever isn't bolted down they have signs of being bitten by a rabid animal. Solution bring in semi trailers fix the streets to herd them into the trailers take them to medical setup and treat them for rabies quantine them for 30 days fill em with truth serum find out what makes them behave like rabid animals, put them out to sea cleaning the oceans for a year. Maybe we can have some peace just maybe enough freedom to have peaceful conversations I hope all the people on the Left have not been to the George Soros Medical Center. The Center has condominiums for the Left Media outlets personal they get a checkup every week. They get filled up on more embarrassing serum every week.

  • Reacherfan Marmot

    10/14/2019 05:15 PM

    So he's going tax all the Muslim mosques along with Catholic churches? Way to go Beto!!!!!!

  • Susan G. Wingfield

    10/14/2019 05:03 PM

    Amen, Brother, Keep writing, it stirs the Hearts of God's people. I remember David and how he won against Goliath. He always will win when God is involved
    and I think it was the LORD who put our President in office to do a JOB on our Nation. " Blessed Be the NAME of the LORD"

  • James Merrifield

    10/14/2019 04:22 PM

    Thank you Mike for bringing out the truth.

  • Anne Amato

    10/14/2019 03:55 PM

    Dear Governor,
    Thank you for your newsletter, (as always)....but do not know if an issue here or if Yahoo is causing you issues in having it stay viable....but....it kept saying "an error has occurred and has to reload". As I said, may be local....may be carrier, may be leftist Yahoo.
    But...DID finally get to access the CNN link you provided on the SNL Democratic candidates (odd....did not see Sanders in it...just saying). Anyway, after watching it....(hilarious but ....sadly....true)....then realized that because I did watch it, I will start getting even MORE "recommended" CNN videos on YouTube (heavy sigh).....when even those people I watch ALL the time, I have to find by doing a search for their websites....and THEN go to their YouTube videos. (And THOSE are NEVER in order from the most recent to oldest.)
    I do not use FaceBook, Google, Twitter, and HATE leftist Yahoo....but....not updating. So...thank you for your efforts in sending timely emails each day.
    God bless you and yours!

  • Catherine Duncan

    10/14/2019 03:53 PM

    I am so upset with the Dems , what they are doing to My President is just horrible . I pray daily for President Trump!

  • Joseph

    10/14/2019 03:50 PM

    This is what happens when a political party has nothing to run on but hate. They have done nothing for three years but bash and criticize the President. They have done nothing in their elective jobs to help America or the people. they have though fought to kill unborn babies, take law abiding citizens guns away and give illegals free reign to rape an kill Americans. Their other biggies are they are electing moslems to government and trying to get rid of all National Security agencies along with our borders. These people still refer to themselves as Americans yet they obviously have no concept of the meaning of the word. The Democratic party has always had it's dark side but now they are just the New Nazi Party trying for complete an total control over the country and the people.

  • Alvin Reed

    10/14/2019 03:00 PM

    It is a sad day in America where you will be thrown in prison for reading the Bible inside of the four walls of a church building for refusing to pay taxes on the money you give to a church. I propose a constitutional ammendment: DNA defines gender, role, and life.

  • Vernon R Freeck

    10/14/2019 02:56 PM

    OH LORD GOD BRING THIS NATION BACK TO YOU, OPEN THE EYES OF THE NON BELEIVER AMEN

  • Marie M Dahl

    10/14/2019 02:46 PM

    I love your newsletter. I wouldn't waste my time watching CNN or any f the other fake news channels. I watch FOX all of the time or at least I have it on 24/7. I have it on 2 TVs and can hear it everywhere in the house. When something catches my attention I go watch it. I watch your shows on my PC I don't know if I can get it on my TV. I watched quite a bit of Chondra yesterday. She's a riot. I'm going to look her up to see if she will ever be in the Miami area. I would love to see her in person. Keep your newsletters coming. They're the first thing I look for when i get into email.

  • Tom Edwards

    10/14/2019 02:45 PM

    The best thing trump has going for him is the Democrat Party. Their hitting on Trump shows there is not a one there with brains enough to come in out of the rain. Everyone making a fool out of their selves just makes Trump look better. I have to agree with the person who said the Democrats should go to slum row and pick the worse Drunk and have a better person than they have running now!

  • Michael F. Conners

    10/14/2019 02:41 PM

    Governor,

    Last night’s Dem town hall was like watching a slow motion Tran wreck - the unspeakable in pursuit of the unbeatable, to paraphrase G.B. Shaw’s comment on British fox hunts!

    Cheers, Michael Conners