Liberals are whistling past the graveyard with their endless reassurances that Hillary Clinton will beat Donald Trump in a landslide. Trump has been the presumptive nominee for all of one week, since his May 3rd win in Indiana knocked off his last remaining rivals. Back then, the Reuters poll had Hillary stomping him by 10 points, 46-36%. Just one week later, that same poll has her ahead by just 41.3-40%, within the margin of error. This is in line with three new Quinnipiac University polls of major swing states – Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio – showing Trump and Hillary dead even. (Incidentally, no poll this far out should be taken too seriously, but one liberal website reassured Democrats that this poll is all wrong because they’re sure there will be no surge of white, blue collar voters, but a huge surge of minorities rushing to the polls to vote against Trump because of claims that he’s racist. That’s not just whistling past the graveyard, that’s leading a marching band right through the crematorium.)
But not all liberals are so certain that Hillary is a shoo-in, and here are just a few reasons why:
As I’ve been pointing out since 2008, Hillary is always the inevitable, unbeatable candidate, until there is ANY other choice. She was blindsided by Obama in 2008, by Bernie in 2016, and Trump could do it again in November. Honestly, how many people are really aflame with a passionate desire for Hillary Clinton to be the leader of the free world, other than Hillary Clinton?
In all these polls, there are double-digit percentages of undecideds or “won’t vote for eithers.” If they vote for a third party, they’re irrelevant. But if enough undecideds swing either way, they can determine the election. While they know Trump as a businessman or celebrity, they’re still getting used to the notion of him as a political candidate. After watching the campaign and convention, if enough of them feel comfortable with him (or if they just think the country’s going in the wrong direction, as most Americans do, and they’re willing to take a risk to change it), then Trump will win. But if they’re still undecided about Hillary, after more than a quarter century of her scandals and public striving for political power, what new info are they likely to hear in the next few months that will suddenly make them embrace her?
For months, we heard that Trump had a “ceiling” of support of only about 35% of Republicans. Then he started winning over more and more voters and scoring majority vote totals. Have you seen any national polls taken in the last decade where Hillary scores much higher than about 48%? Maybe she’s the one who’s reached her ceiling.
Even “Saturday Night Live” admitted that Trump will “probably win.” On last week’s “Weekend Update” segment, comic news anchor Colin Jost told viewers that his friends say, “Oh, boo, I hate that guy.” But when he asks, are you gonna vote for him? “Yeah, probably.” He reminded viewers that a lot of people hate Hillary, too, comparing the election to a diner with only two soups left: Pumpkin Corn Chowder or Hillary Clinton. So you decide you’re not hungry anymore. Yes, I know it’s only a comedy show, but a lot of young voters get their news and cues from comedy shows. “SNL” just implied that they wouldn’t be unfashionable or uncool if they chose Trump over Hillary. That’s a big psychological hurdle for some people.
Finally, I think these fast-tightening polls show that Trump, being a good salesman, is already getting his prospects to think past the point of sale. He’s moved the public’s mindset past “Trump will never run” and “Trump will never get the nomination,” and now, he’s getting people accustomed to the idea of a President Trump. The more voters compare him to the warmed-over Pumpkin Corn Chowder the Democrats are trying to force-feed us, the easier it will be to accept that idea.
On that subject, the New York Daily News claims that Trump has already struck a secret deal with a major Republican name to be his Director of Homeland Security. Tell me if the massive change in American security this would represent makes you more likely to vote for Trump:
And please leave me a comment below. I read them!