November 3, 2020
By Mike Huckabee
DANCIN' TRUMP IS READY FOR ANOTHER FOUR YEARS
Friends, the day is finally here, and if you could use some positive energy to get you through what might be a time of utter insanity, check out this “MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN” video montage of Trump dancing on the stage during recent campaign rallies. He’s got energy to spare.
There is no better tribute to Trump’s vitality, spontaneity and love of country than this feel-good video. It’s hard to believe he was in the hospital with the virus just a few weeks ago. He's having fun, seeming to feed off the energy of the huge crowds, and after all he’s been through over the past four years, it’s great to see him having such a good time –- and being so enthusiastic about giving the country another four years. I think voters will give him the chance, and if he has the Senate, his second term could be spectacular.
They thought they could make him quit and go home. They would be wrong.
POLLSTERS CAN'T MEASURE THE "HIDDEN VOTE" FOR TRUMP
We’ve talked before about those bizarre polls that show Biden up by double digits and why they’re wrong and essentially worthless. Today, Byron York at the WASHINGTON EXAMINER has a piece about one of the reasons they’re so far-off: the “hidden vote” for Trump.
With the horrific violence coming from the left –- we see it if we watch FOX NEWS but maybe not if we focus on mainstream media –- we have to think long and hard before slapping a “TRUMP 2020” bumper sticker on our cars. It depends on where we live (and how much we like our cars), but in some areas the violence has been so bad that we knew we’d just be putting a big target on ourselves by wearing a MAGA hat. Who needs a broken nose, right? Even some of us whose yard signs didn't get stolen might have decided, with a sigh, to take the safe route and pull them up to save as a memoir of this crazy year.
On the other hand, some brave souls have been keeping those signs out anyway. Monday night, Laura Ingraham interviewed David Tootle, an African-American man living in Savannah, Georgia, whose Trump flag was set on fire after the last Trump-Biden debate. He put up another, and it also was burned. (Biden signs in the neighborhood were left untouched.) He has now put up a THIRD Trump flag.
“You can’t be intimidated in this cancel culture,” he said. “...I refuse to be intimidated. I’m not gonna let them...win, so, I bought five flags; I’ve got two of ‘em hanging off my house right now, and they’re gonna stay up there tomorrow.”
He said his neighbors ask him how he, as a black man, can vote for Trump. He tells them to look at the unemployment rate, look at the Platinum Plan, Li’l Wayne, 50 Cent,” etc., and how people who at one time hated Trump are coming to his side. “It’s an easy choice to make,” he said.
He said the intimidation is “honestly sad.” But “we’ve got a choice to make,” he said, “and this President has got to win...if he doesn’t, we’re gonna see more of this. Unfortunately, ‘cancel culture’ –- they’re out there, they’re not going anywhere, and I think this is a fight, this is a battle we have to win.”
Of course, a pollster would be able to factor in the very vocal support of someone like this. But this man is likely in the minority of Trump voters, especially in traditionally Democrat neighborhoods where the intimidation factor runs high. York reported that at some of the pro-Trump rallies in Pennsylvania over the past week, “a large number” of Trump supporters said they knew someone personally who was voting to re-elect President Trump but was not publicly acknowledging this.
One thing that’s still true about the voting booth --- and, Lord, may it ever be! --- is that it’s secret. It’s just you, the ballot, and God if you’re thinking about that. Your boss, your neighbor, even your spouse is never going to know who you’re voting for. If you’re a college student, your parents, professors and school friends will never know. If you’re in the entertainment business, your all-important industry contacts and your audience will never know. It’s one of the very few things you can do that you can be sure NO ONE but you will know about. It’s just you, alone with your own thoughts.
So, how is it possible to measure the number of people who are secretly going to vote for Trump?
In anecdotal evidence, York points to a number of people in Pennsylvania who didn’t vote for Trump in 2016 but who are this time, or who didn’t vote at all in 2016 but who are voting for him now. One man in the oil and gas business hadn’t voted for 25 years but is voting this time; he sees through Biden’ political double-talk about fossil fuels and knows he would shut that business down.
The “secret” Trump (or maybe anti-Hillary) vote was certainly there in 2016; that’s why we got such a jolt on election night. One Pennsylvanian said that in 2016, “I didn’t even know my neighbors were Trump supporters until election night. You don’t tell everyone you know that you support Trump...And it’s worse now [than in 2016]. A lot of people are afraid to speak up.”
Another Trump supporter in Pennsylvania said, “There are people who are fearful of losing their jobs if they support Trump.” And I'll bet he wasn't even in the media.
York cites numerous people who said they “knew someone” who was “too fearful, or intimidated, or just too private” to tell other people they’re supporting Trump. Some have close friends or family who haven’t voted their entire lives but are now quietly voting for him.
Some of the “secret” Trumps supporters are in upper-middle class neighborhoods and don’t want to deal with the “social aspects” of being pro-Trump. They must not want to be perceived as smelly Walmart people. Others reside in traditional Democrat strongholds.
Some are even elected Democrat officials or members of unions that support Democrats. They don’t like the direction their party is taking, but they don’t DARE say they’re voting for Trump.
York points out that even people who live in Republican-leaning neighborhoods and have Trump signs in their yards might be hesitant to confide their vote to some anonymous pollster calling them at home. Why tell? It’s not as if you HAVE to, and it might cause you problems. You sure don’t want to be thought of as a white supremacist or something.
Some pollsters don’t believe in the phenomenon of the “shy” Trump voter, which might explain why they were so far off in 2016 and probably will be again. We know this is real, but how can they possibly quantify it? By definition, it’s going to be imprecise. And with the growth of anti-Trump sentiment over the past four years, it’s arguably worse now.
Not only do most pollsters lack a methodology for dealing with such factors as the “shy” Trump voter, but they're generally in the business of creating a desired result, which might or might not be accurate. After all, they’re hired to conduct polls for people who want not just to REFLECT the news, but to AFFECT the news. The Trump campaign, of course, conducts its own internal polls, and those results probably have a lot to do with the energy and joy Trump has been radiating during this weekend's campaign rallies.
Without being able to measure the quiet, “shy” support for Trump, even the polls we get to see are looking encouraging as we come to Election Day. I would hope that no matter what the polls say –- especially after 2016 –- any Trump supporter would crawl through broken glass and walk through fire to vote for him today. If, of course, you haven’t already.
TIME TO VOTE FOR THE AMERICA WE LOVE
If you are reading this on Tuesday, November 3rd, 2020 (the most consequential Election Day of our lifetimes), then I assume you have already voted or you’re reading it on your cell phone while waiting in line to vote. If not, then get moving. I’ll still be here when you get back.
As for the rest of us, let us all pray that the Silent Majority will once again make themselves heard loud and clear, and that the America we all know and love, the land of freedom and opportunity for all, where the people are the masters of the government and not the other way around, that shining city on a hill and one nation under God, will be protected, preserved and renewed.
In case it’s not yet clear that the current Democratic ticket no longer reflects those ideals, Joe Biden’s running mate (or is that the other way around?) Kamala Harris just gave us a lesson in what life would be like under her…uh, Biden. It’s straight out of Karl Marx.
At the link, watch Harris explain her idea of the difference between “equality” and “equity,” and how it’s not good enough that everyone should have equal opportunities to succeed, but that we insure equity of outcomes: “Equitable treatment means we all end up at the same place.”
FYI: According to Fortune magazine, Kamala Harris’ estimated net worth is $6.3 million. The median net worth of Americans in her age bracket is $187,300. She can lecture me about equity of outcomes when she gives away $6.1 million of her own money to people with less than her.
THE FIRST VOTES HAVE BEEN COUNTED
The first votes of the election have already been counted. They’re from two tiny New Hampshire towns that vote at midnight for the publicity. Joe Biden won a unanimous landslide in Dixville Notch by taking all five votes. If that scares Republicans to rush to the polls and vote for Trump, then I won’t argue.
I should add, though, that in nearby Millsville, Trump crushed Biden 16-5, so he’s currently in the lead by 16-10, or more than 3-2 (FYI: the other little town that normally votes at midnight, Hart’s Location, canceled this year due to the coronavirus.)
Also, Dixville Notch isn’t much of a trend indicator. They voted for Mike Bloomberg in the Democratic Primary, and for Hillary over Trump in 2016 by 2-1 (or to be precise, by 4 to 2, with 1 vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson.) I’m guessing that the voting population is down to five because the two Trump supporters got sick of their cows being graffitied with Antifa slogans and moved to Millsville.
ICYMI: IMPORTANT IN-PERSON VOTING TIP
If you’re going to vote in person tomorrow, be warned that at least 21 states have restrictions relating to political messages on apparel at the polls, with 15 prohibiting it. That means if you show up at the polls wearing a Trump hat, T-shirt, etc. (or a Biden face mask), you won’t be allowed in until you take it off. In some Northern states, voting shirtless might be pretty uncomfortable, and you don’t want to lose your place in line while you go home and change, so save the politically-oriented clothing for the victory party afterward.
IGNORE THE POLLS
It’s been almost amusing to watch all the pollsters scrambling to “adjust” their “Biden +13” predictions to “Toss-up” less than 24 hours before the polls close. May I ask the simple, obvious question: If they’ve been that far off for that long, then what good are they? To answer my own question: They’re not good for a darn thing other than to give the media something to endlessly, pointlessly jawbone about.
People wanted to hear about the economy, jobs, restoring law and order, and protecting First and Second Amendment rights. Instead, the talking heads fixated for months on handicapping the horserace like touts scouring the Racing Form for any signs of who might win, from the moisture on the track to the horses' astrological signs. Now it’s Election Day, and what did all of those countless hours of jabbering about the polls mean? NOTHING. They were a giant waste of time and energy because the only poll that matters is the one taken today.
Ever since I got into the media in 2009, I have spent some part of every election season warning people to ignore polls. I gave the same warning to fellow commentators, to no avail (they also laughed and ignored me when I predicted Trump’s win in 2016.) Most polls released for public consumption are useless, and the ones taken weeks or months in advance are less than useless. On the eve of Election Day, they suddenly change to reflect “last minute movements” that usually aren’t movements at all, they’re just solid Republican support that was deliberately undercounted until the pollsters were forced to change it at the last minute to try to salvage some credibility.
Frank Luntz said if the predictions of a sure Biden win are wrong, the polling industry is “done.” It was “done” in 2016, and he’s just now noticing?
BIBLE VERSE OF THE DAY