I always urge people not to pay attention to any polls this far out. But since the media are pointing to polls with Biden in the lead to practically declare him President already (and poor Joe might believe it), I think it’s only fair to use this poll to pour a little castor oil into their Kool-Aid.
A stunning daily tracking survey last week by Rasmussen Reports found that President Trump’s approval rating has risen to 51% (at this point in his first term, Obama was at 44%.) But that’s not the most jaw-dropping part. Trump’s approval rating is 49% among whites, 48% among blacks and 63% among other non-white minorities. How is this possible with all the bad news he’s dealing with, like the coronavirus, the economic shutdown and the riots?
I’m sure the media will dismiss this as an outlier, and maybe it is. They’ll claim that Rasmussen is unreliable, even though it was one of the most accurate polls in 2016. And it would not be wise for Republicans to put too much faith in it. Still…maybe this poll is picking up early trends that tend to form as people start paying more attention to the election. Maybe it’s different from the other polls because they are just so inaccurate. This is a poll of likely voters, not “adults” or “registered voters” or “whoever was actually willing to answer the phone,” like those pro-Biden polls.
Or maybe people just aren’t swallowing the efforts by the media and the Democrats (but I repeat myself) to blame Trump for a virus unleashed by China or for far-left radicals burning down Democrat-run cities. Maybe they see through all that and realize that Trump was creating record jobs and rising wages for all races before the coronavirus hit, and that he’s far more likely to get the economy running again than the people who kept it sputtering for eight years under Obama, and now insist that China isn’t a threat and we need to keep everything shut down even longer.
Or maybe minorities realize that Trump has done more for them in three years than the Democrats have in decades; that Democrats have let their neighborhoods burn and shielded the arsonists and gangsters while taking away their police protection; and that the only argument they have to keep voting for them is that they’ll call you a racist or say you “ain't really black” if you don’t.
Or maybe the poll is entirely wrong, and there’s nothing to see here. I hope the Democrats believe that, and I hope that Republicans just keep working toward the election as if they believe that.