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The Party of Science

November 21, 2020

California Gov. Gavin Newsom, who was recently caught attending a birthday party at a restaurant while ordering Californians to cancel their Thanksgiving dinners, ordered a new policy to slow the coronavirus that may be the dumbest one yet. People in counties in the purple infection tier are being put under a stay-at-home curfew from 10 p.m. to 5 a.m.

Think about that. Does the virus really spread more during overnight hours? Isn’t that when you would be least likely to catch it, since hardly anyone is out at that hour anyway? (Comic Flip Wilson once said midnight is the best time to be sneakin’ around, because if you meet anyone, they’re sneakin’, too.) Some say he’s trying to keep from harming businesses by shutting them down during daylight hours, but if the point is to stop the virus, isn’t it more likely to spread when people are out and conducting business than when 98% of them are home in bed anyway? Or is he just trying to keep vampires from catching it?

I think we can add this to “The virus doesn’t spread at BLM protests or Biden celebrations,” Andrew Cuomo’s shutting down only bars that don’t serve what he considers substantial lunch foods, and New York forcing nursing homes to take in COVID-19 patients when we eventually construct our Idiotic Coronavirus Responses Hall of Fame.

Texas still seeing red

November 21, 2020

Another big election story that didn’t pan out was “Texas turning blue.” At the link, “Beto” O’Rourke writes about what Democrats learned from this race and why Texans didn’t fall for what they were selling (my terminology.

As usual with liberals, he misses the point again and again. Whenever the left loses, it’s always because their “messaging” wasn’t effective enough. Having billions of dollars in both paid advertising and free friendly media to promote their economic and social policies just wasn’t enough to overcome the lies of the Republicans playing upon the fears of the poor, uneducated voters (quite a ringing endorsement for public schools, by the way.)

He cites as examples “lies” like “Biden will kill your oil and gas jobs” and “Biden will close down the economy” (two things Biden specifically said he would do, before looking at the polls and backtracking furiously.) He forgot, “Hell, yes,” the Democrats will take away your guns, which is what he famously said. I’m sure that played well in Texas.

He almost came close to getting it right when he said the national party had ignored Texas border districts and were shocked when Trump got such a high percentage of the vote there. But he misreads the reason. It’s not because the Democrats didn’t put in enough ads or outreach or canvassing. It’s because, as always, they assumed racial groups think monolithically, not as individuals. Latinos living along the border are on the front lines of suffering the negative effects of illegal immigration, including drugs and gang violence. Why would they vote for the “open borders/defund the police” party?

You’ve heard the saying, “When you ‘assume,’ you make an ‘ass’ of ‘u’ and ‘me’”? That was part of the Democrats’ problem in Texas. They assumed that all Latinos think alike and their votes belong to the Democrats by divine right. But in Texas, most Latinos are hard-working, God-fearing, law-abiding, church-going, patriotic, pro-family and pro-life. It’s not that they didn’t hear the Democrats’ message, they heard it loud and clear, found it terrifyingly radical, and rejected it. No amount of slick ads could put enough lipstick on the pig the Dems were trying to sell them.

And if you insist on putting people into categories, at least get the category right. Texas Latinos have their own proud heritage dating back to before Texas was a republic. It’s called Tejano, not Latino, and certainly not the annoying PC invention, “Latinx.” The Democrats’ leftist policies went over with them about as well as they did with Cubans in Florida.

One of my writers who lives in suburban Dallas provided a perfect example. He said the person he knows who is most adamantly opposed to illegal immigration is a lady who moved here with her husband from Mexico City. It infuriates her when illegal aliens come to them for jobs in their construction company, assuming she’ll hire them because she’s Mexican. She said she and her husband followed the laws, waited their turn, studied, took tests, paid fees and swore an oath to become Americans. She considers it an affront to her beloved adopted homeland for people to break its laws and demand the same rights they worked so hard to earn. What would the “one-size-fits-all” identity politics left make of her?

While it’s sadly true that the Democrats are making inroads in Texas, many Texans are seeing what allowing them to take over the big cities has led to and are recoiling in horror. Leftists have taken over Austin, and between the homelessness, trash, defunding the police and huge spike in violent crime, they’re turning the city’s motto from “Keep Austin Weird” to “Make Austin Unlivable.” The biggest problem Democrats have in selling their policies is not that their messaging isn’t effective enough; it’s that their policies are disastrous and anything they gain full control over, they destroy. Their biggest opponent isn't Republicans, it's reality.

“Beto” is right about one thing. He said: “People are smart. They smell a focus group-tested message, talking points derived from polls, a campaign driven by consultants, from a mile away.”

But their real problem is that there are also a lot of things about leftwing governance that people can smell from a mile away.

The most striking thing about Sidney Powell and Rudy Giuliani’s press conference on Thursday is the immediate dismissal it got from most of the media.

Look at what they were alleging: wholesale election fraud, stealing a presidential election right under our noses in the world’s great democratic superpower, reducing the “shining beacon on a hill” to a mere penlight. There has been nothing like this in the history of our country. The media can’t risk looking at it; they instinctively know that, like looking straight at the sun, it would cause them permanent injury.

But if this is true, it explains a lot of very strange anomalies we’ve seen in the vote.

https://nationalfile.com/election-fraud-expert-michigans-election-results-are-physical-impossibility/

Russell Ramsland, co-owner of Allied Security Operations Group (ASOG), which specializes in election fraud detection, has looked at the Michigan vote and claims it’s a “physical impossibility.” According to a story in NationalFile.com, Ramsland served in the Reagan administration and has worked for both MIT and NASA. His must be one of the thousands of sworn affidavits Giuliani was referring to on Thursday. Ramsland swore he had determined --- no question --- that vote tampering took place in Michigan and that given "significant anomalies and red flags," the results could not possibly have happened otherwise.

He addressed the vulnerabilities of Dominion Voting Systems, saying that experts had already known about these and written about them extensively. He called the system logs essentially “unprotected,” meaning that any alterations to the tabulations would be undetectable. He said anyone with an elementary knowledge of computer systems could “arbitrarily add, modify or remove log entries, causing a log event to take place."

His colleague, Dr. Andrew Appel, described how a hack could easily be accomplished: creating a memory stick and then “7 minutes alone with [the machine] and a screwdriver.”

Here's one red flag: “There are a stunning 3,276 precincts where the presidential votes cast compared to the estimated voters...ranges from 84 percent to 350 percent...[revealing] 431,954 excess ballots.” This is one of the problems Giuliani was talking about. At least 19 townships/precincts have more votes than registered voters, some WAY more.

The biggest red flag is those “spikes” that Giuliani also mentioned. The spikes are “strongly indicative of a manual adjustment, either by the operator of the system...or by outside actors.” This is what convinced Ramsland that a crime did occur. “In the data are 4 spikes totaling 384,733 ballots allegedly processed in a combined interval of only 2 hours and 38 minutes. This is physically impossible given the available equipment at the 4 reference locations.”

However, other computer security experts have disputed Ramsland’s qualifications as an election systems expert and say he’s promoted vote fraud claims before without producing evidence. He has also claimed that vote tallies were uploaded to a database outside the US controlled by a company called Scytl. Both Scytl and Dominion denied that, with Dominion saying it would be illegal under US election law for Scytl to control votes cast and tabulated in the US.

Ramsland also allegedly made an error in an affidavit filed by Lin Wood in his Georgia case, confusing some districts in Minnesota for Michigan districts.

https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2020/11/do-trumps-lawyers-know-what-they-are-doing.php

These kinds of mistakes, disputes and conflicts can’t be in a legal filing when you’re asking a court or legislature to throw out thousands of votes. Just because something COULD have happened, or seemed to happen doesn’t, in itself, prove that it DID change the outcome of the election. Anecdotal or statistical anomalies aren’t enough; you need solid evidence.  Besides, how do you prove alterations were made by the thousands, perhaps millions, if the experts say they’re “undetectable”? The thought of making such a case, especially to people whose natural reactions range from dismissive to hostile to murderous, is daunting. Powell and her team have just a few days to build their case and have it heard, and it will have to be ironclad to get anyone to hear it.

Alan Dershowitz thinks the effort might be worth it in Pennsylvania.

https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/alan-dershowitz-says-trump-has-chance-prevail-constitutional-legal

That’s why Tucker Carlson’s remarks about Powell not coming on his show Thursday evening might have been misplaced.

https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/tucker-carlson-rudy-giuliani-sidney-powell-election-fraud

He understandably wants to see the proof, we ALL NEED to see the proof, but the clock is ticking and she’s got work to do. Tucker said he would’ve given her the whole hour, even the whole week, but I’m thinking maybe she doesn’t have that kind of time. Just because she doesn’t show her hand doesn’t mean she doesn’t have a good one and is saving it for court. Keeping it close to the vest is likely her strategy.

Giuliani did go on HANNITY Thursday night for one segment, talking about coordination among ten Democrat-controlled cities. If that’s the case they’re planning to make in the next week or two, they’ve got their work cut out for them. That does sound like conspiracy theory if you don't have hard evidence. But John Solomon claims to have some, from prominent mathematician Steven Miller.

https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/mathematics-prof-says-sworn-statement-many-56000-gop-ballots-pa-may-be

Those in media who reflexively say there’s “no evidence” need to look at some of that. (Force yourselves.) But for now, what we have is bits and pieces in multiple states, so we might feel like the blind men trying to describe an elephant.

The point is, we need to give Powell and her team a few precious days. Lack of time is the main challenge that legal expert Jonathan Turley says they have. What’s really critical is not what Powell says tonight on TV but the case she presents in a courtroom, before a judge --- or, it's hoped, a panel of justices.

If it turns out she was just blowing smoke –- which would be highly out of character for her –- THEN she deserves criticism from all sides. Goodness, her career and reputation will be ruined if she’s doing that, and she knows it.

Powell, Giuliani and their team are already enduring vicious criticism and threats of violence from Trump’s wacko adversaries. It got so bad for one Trump attorney in Philadelphia that she was placed under protection and allowed by the judge to withdraw from the case.

https://www.theepochtimes.com/lawyer-representing-trump-in-pennsylvania-placed-under-protection-after-threats-of-harm_3585988.html

Linda Kerns wrote on November 16 that she'd “been subjected to continuous harassment in the form of abusive emails, phone calls, physical and economic threats, and even accusations of treason --- all for representing the President of the United States’ campaign in this litigation.”

As we've reported, the anti-Trump group The Lincoln Project, which has hundreds of thousands of social media followers, has suggested that people target Trump attorneys, and to my knowledge neither Joe “the unifier” Biden nor any other Democrat leaders have denounced them. They bullied the law firm Porter, Wright, Morris & Arthur into withdrawing from the Philly case. Kerns is the attorney who took over the case, and now SHE has withdrawn as well. This is an attempt to deprive Trump of legal representation.  It's also mob rule.

So let’s give Trump’s legal team some space while they put their case together, as is their right. They’ve got enough to deal with and an almost superhuman deadline. But when it's completed, it will have to be built as solid as a tank if they expect it to go anywhere.

Not going away

November 19, 2020

Our elite classes in government and media seem to believe that if they can only vanquish Trump, they will reign triumphant once again and cement themselves into power forevermore. First of all, even if he loses, Trump's not going away. Second, they have never seemed to grasp that Trump wasn’t the cause of their rejection by the public, he was a symptom of it. He even told Biden in the debates that if he and Obama hadn’t done such a terrible job, there’s no way he ever would have been elected President, and that’s probably true.

In this Twitter thread, Richard Fernandez tries once again to tell them that the people’s loss of faith in their leaders’ competence dated back well before the 2016 election. This isn’t news to me, since I wrote an entire book about how out of touch with America our coastal and DC elites were before Trump even entered politics:

Fernandez warns that more woke virtual signaling at the “deplorables” is not going to convince anyone that our self-proclaimed elites are competent again (based on Biden’s vow to reverse every Trump policy that led to a booming economy, record job creation, energy independence, cheap gas and peace in the Middle East, I think competence is the last thing a Biden Administration would be known for.)

Mark Judge at The Stream has a great suggestion for journalists: get a menial job. Take a few months to go work in a restaurant, hardware store, coal mine, factory, construction site, nursing home or anyplace where working class Americans put in a hard day, sweating for their paychecks.

Maybe if journalists actually meet some of the “flyover” people they constantly talk down to, they’ll learn a few things about them. Like that they’re not racists, they’re not obsessed with politics, and they love America and think it’s working just fine. They want to keep the money they earn instead of giving it to politicians in taxes to redistribute to their pet projects and people who won’t work. They hate bullies who try to tell them what they’re allowed to say and think, and they don’t want to be lectured about ridiculous things that defy common sense, like that a man can become a woman or that illegal immigration is not a problem. I would add that they’d also learn that working class people are not stupid or “low-information voters;” in fact, they are in many ways smarter and far more accomplished than most of the desk jockeys with useless college degrees who mock them.

Also, they might learn the most devastating realization of all: that many Americans view the elite journalist class as a bunch of over-privileged narcissists and “whiny, entitled, half-educated mediocrities.”