The truth about mass shooting deaths

April 7, 2018

We keep hearing that law-abiding gun owners who’ve never harmed anyone “have blood on their hands” because of the big rise in mass shootings, and they need to stop bitterly clinging to their guns and let liberals repeal the Second Amendment because our kids are too terrified to go to school, where they might be killed at any minute. For instance, in an op-ed in the so-called “paper of record,” the New York Times, Margaret Renkl, who is married to a teacher and has a son who’s a teacher and two kids in college, writes of her paralyzing dread every day that they’ll be killed in the classroom because "Americans are now more likely to be shot to death than to die in a car accident."

But as terrible as such shootings are, is there any truth to Ms Renkl’s claim, or any of the claims behind all this widespread fear, hysteria and finger-pointing? A nod to Jacob Sullum at Reason.com for digging into the numbers. Here’s what he discovered:

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FBI numbers show that in 2016, the risk of being killed by a gun in the US ticked up slightly from 4.4 murders per 100,000 people to 5.3. But that’s still a huge drop from the rate of about 10 per 100,000 in the early ‘90s. Both violent and nonviolent crime rates have plummeted over the past 20 years, until the murder rate is now about what it was in the early 1950s (those “Leave It To Beaver” years that liberals keep telling us we can’t turn back the clock to.) And this somehow happened as the number of guns in the hands of law-abiding citizens greatly increased...coincidentally.

According to the CDC, in 2015, slightly more Americans were killed by guns than car crashes. However, two-thirds of those gun deaths were suicides. People determined to kill themselves will find some other way if a gun isn’t handy. Only one-third were homicides, meaning you’re actually three times more likely to die in a car crash than to be murdered by someone with a gun. But there’s more.


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If you filter out such incidents as inner city gang members shooting each other and just count the type of killings Ms Renkl is writing about – someone shooting multiple innocent victims – then your kids are 1,000 times more likely to die in a car crash. As Mr. Sullum notes, your chances of dying in a mass shooting are about the same as being killed by a dog or a bolt of lightning. It’s actually more likely that you will die from an insect sting than a mass shooter.

So not to dismiss the tragedy of mass shootings, but if we’re going to get so hysterical with fear that we blame and attack law-abiding gun owners, then why aren’t we equally hysterical over all the liberal environmentalist, mosquito-loving “bug-nuts” with blood on their hands who keep bitterly clinging to their ban on DDT?

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Comments 1-18 of 18

  • john consier

    04/16/2018 12:33 PM

    Hi Mike, I have a question , Is there any way that "WE THE PEOPLE" can ban together and bring a law suit against Bob Mueller or any action of any kind to put a stop to His persistent attacks on the man WE voted in for President. We voted for Donald Trump because of His policies, His tenacity to take on a job to completion , like He committed to do. He is a Man of His word. The worm of a man that is after him , for crimes that can't be found or prosecuted , and that our Tax dollars being wasted, on a (WITCH HUNT). His past (WITCH HUNT)put 4 innocent men in prison ending in wrongful prosecution & 4 lawsuits. It's about time He is investigated & incarcerated."Please Help."

    ding

  • Joanne McColl

    04/11/2018 02:19 PM

    A pastor advised to avoid fruits and vegetables from Mexico because our country sells DDT to Mexico. I try to buy o rganic and grown on US soil.

  • Kevin Schwinkendorf

    04/10/2018 05:57 PM

    And now, apparently, if you live in Londonastan, you have to worry about "knife control."

  • Denise A Wright

    04/10/2018 04:48 PM

    Amen!! We love you Governor Huckabee!!

  • Stephen Russell

    04/10/2018 11:31 AM

    Arent these mass shootings IE schools "rigged", then how do they recruit" actors" &"shooter/s" for event.
    Preplanned by Leftists for Gun Confiscation??
    If not we never see the Victims or hear all kin from victims ( only select ones) IE Hogg.
    Fair, unfair?
    Or hear from ER staff after shooting cases OK??
    Nothing.

    IF rigged, how to recruit" actors", select schools, inform staff, hire"shooter", do Sequence" & then Media pours in
    Same MO every time.
    I wonder or is this wrong to the Victims IE Real victims unless use blanks in guns & squibs on actors.

  • Michael McGehee

    04/09/2018 09:37 PM

    Mr. H You are The Bomb. Everything you just wrote is spot on. This is the information that MUST be disseminated 24-7 at every chance, to quash the Socialist/ Communist dogma that is constantly spewed by the Media etc. Much Love to you and your family. Michael McGehee. 480-200-2972

  • Bob Gardner

    04/09/2018 02:30 PM

    The mayor of London is now trying to ban KNIVES, because people are using them to kill each other, since they cannot use guns anymore!!!

  • Mac Moody

    04/08/2018 02:13 PM

    I am sorry that it is true that you cannot change a block of concrete. Once it is formed into the block you are unble to make it into any thing else but the block. It is the same with liberals and brain washed individuals, their minds have been formed and nothing can penetrate.

  • Charles M

    04/08/2018 11:50 AM

    And of course the "opioid epidemic" which is killing more people than everything else except for abortion...but we don't want to go there, do we?? I read where in 2014 Planned Parenthood murdered 920,000 (28% black) - and how many have died in "mass shootings", again??

  • Sheron G Evans

    04/08/2018 08:54 AM

    It is a horrible tragedy...........one they did nothing to bring on themselves. Even if it was a result of bullying which I think is pretty horrible itself.................and can cause a lot of emotional damage, even to the point where the one bullied sometimes take their life............if you are still alive, you can always have the opportunity to change and become a better person or the one bullied can overcome the emotional scars. But to exaggerate it and use it to push your political agenda is pretty despicable. Though it may make it harder for someone to commit a mass shooting, its not going to stop them from hurting others if they are determined. What about all those who die from criminals who could have lived if they have had a gun to protect themselves or others who are getting shot for no reason.

  • Annie Webb

    04/08/2018 04:28 AM

    I live in a fast-failing socialist African state masquerading as a democracy. I'm watching conservative efforts in the US to avoid a similar fate with bated breath. The third world can turn any country into a sh*thole within a decade with their paracitic culture and overwhelming numbers. And leftists let their emotions and meaningless slogans completely override their common sense. Or, they know very well that the top dogs in socialist countries still manage to live very well, while the masses die in the streets.

  • Gladys

    04/07/2018 10:32 PM

    I've been watching your TV shows for a short time and love them. They are even better than your time on radio which was great back then. One of the writers for my church paper said she was a recovering sarcastic. Not me and not you, I'm thinking. Whatever you call your sense of humor, keep it up!

  • Joe Wilkerson

    04/07/2018 10:17 PM

    Since so many were killed by suicide, how many committed this act by crashing their car into something? Kids who are this worried about going to school should question their parents about avoiding or getting away should this occur at their school. In fact every school should have the students bring their parents on a Sat. and all of this discussed. The libs are promoting this and having children speak for them in the hopes of their 10 seconds of fame on the evening news. You know who I am talking about.

  • John M. Gonser

    04/07/2018 09:55 PM

    Governor: I am very tired of listening to people who can't associate "violence" with their social and entertainment preferences, and who insist that some inanimate object (no matter how scary it looks) is a culprit in violent behavior. Were I to write an article, a pamphlet, or a book, or produce or edit a TV special that promoted violent behavior, would these same people lay blame on the ball point pen I used? If I were to advocate violent overthrow of our federal government and write letter after letter, could get off Scot free by laying the blame at the tip of the pencil I used? Or the Microsoft application (Word) I used to write these documents? And would I then be able to blame every person who uses ball points, pencils, and computer software as complicit in this seditious act?

    If this is silly, then so are the claims that the NRA causes school shootings.

  • Firkins Earl Lee

    04/07/2018 06:58 PM

    You are without a doubt one of my favorite commentators and politicians, but your comments about DDT may need revision. DDT in the environment has been conclusively shown to reduce the likelihood of successful survival of birds of prey. (Eagles, ospreys, etc.)

  • David Stinson

    04/07/2018 06:33 PM

    Alas; such facts and reason have no effect whatsoever on the spoiled, tantrum-throwing, violent infants-in-adult-bodies who now make up 52% of the American electorate. One cannot reason with spoiled children, no matter how good one's argument. Leftists cannot be convinced or converted; they can only be defeated and the prospect for that looks very grim.

  • Timothy Hedrick

    04/07/2018 05:59 PM

    Well said Mike... Well said...

  • AT&T VoiceDial

    04/07/2018 05:51 PM

    I am a former teacher,daughter am her roommate are teachers. Yes, they put up with abuse, because their students are autisic or special needs. They get hit, kick, bitten, etc. students can’t be expelled, no matter their actions. If anyone should be worried about being shot it is them. This Mother needs to get a grip , and learn the statistics.