A while back, I made my “official” prediction of who the 2020 Democratic Presidential nominee would be. If you recall, it was…(drum roll, please)...
As far as I know, I’m the first to have made this prediction, and in light of recent developments, I continue to stand by it. Michelle says she’s not running, but this certainly isn’t the first time we’ve had to consider what the meaning of “is” is. She WILL be running. I think at one point she also said she has no INTENTION of running, but that’s always subject to change, so it means nothing. Michelle is bound to have done some of her own polling, so she won’t be surprised by this:
Right now, Michelle O ties with former Vice President Joe Biden as the top choice among Democratic voters, according to a Hill-HarrisX poll released on Tuesday. She gets the support of 25 percent who say they’d support her over nine other declared or potential candidates, including Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker, California Sen. Kamala Harris, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, former Texas Rep.“Beto” O’Rourke (who lost to Ted Cruz this time around despite a massive surge of cash), NYC Mayor Michael Bloomberg, Amy Klobuchar, and Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown.
When factoring in the independent voters, who get to vote in many state primaries, Obama and Biden are still just about tied, with 22 and 23 percent, respectively, which is within the margin of error. Biden hasn’t yet said whether he will get into the race, but some sources “close to him” have said he’s closer to running than he was a few weeks ago.
Still, it’ll be Michelle. I have a long list of reasons, updated from before, none of which have anything to do with policy. (Every one of these people would be disastrous from a policy standpoint.) So, here we go…
WHY MICHELLE WILL BE THE DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE
--- (Most important) She’s perceived by Dems as someone who will beat Donald Trump.
–- She’s a ROCK STAR within the Democratic Party.
–- She’s a rock star with the mainstream news media (meaning almost all media).
–- She’s a rock star with popular culture (note the crowd loving her at the Grammy Awards).
–- She’s guaranteed to have the support of other cultural icons, such as Oprah Winfrey.
–- She can get on the cover of every magazine from now till Election Day if she wants to.
--- She can get one softball interview after another anywhere she wants.
--- She’ll be seen as palatable to Republican/moderate women who don’t like Trump.
–- She’s a rock star with young women, who will work tirelessly for her.
--- Young men will also work tirelessly for her, to please young women.
--- She and former President Obama have a huge power network and tremendous $$$$.
--- She has tons of experience on the campaign trail and as a speaker.
–- She has virtually no negatives, having never run for elective office before.
–- She has a likable personality and is highly educated (Princeton, Harvard Law).
--- She’s relatively young and seems extremely healthy. Must be the veggies.
--- She’s very tall. (Hey, statistically, tall candidates have an advantage.)
–- She is a black female. (Face it, given another option, Democrats WILL NOT choose a white male.)
–- Joe Biden is a white male.
–- He is 197 years old.
--- He’s had countless gaffes and has been way too hands-y with women and young girls.
–- Bernie Sanders is a white male.
–- He is 239 years old.
–- He’s a socialist (no wait; that’s a plus, but he’s still an old, white male).
–- Elizabeth Warren seems too old, too boring and much too non-Cherokee.
–- Kamala Harris, once you see much of her, is incredibly fakey and NOT likable.
–- Cory Booker is the wrong gender, and that’s for starters.
–- Bloomberg, just no. Disastrous record in NYC. Plus, he's another white male.
–- Amy Klobuchar, no. Could she try being less white?
–- Sherrod Brown. Sorry, male. Do not pass “GO,” do not collect $200.
–- “Beto” O’Rourke pretends to be Latino, but he’s white and also male.
--- “Beto” O’Rourke lost a major race and will not be perceived as a winner.
--- “Beto” O’Rourke’s journal entries are too embarrassingly bad even for Democrats.
Most of these seem like ridiculous reasons to support or not support someone for President, don’t they? Of course they do, but remember, we’re talking about Democrats here. Republicans tend to choose someone based on what we think –- or at least hope –- that person will do –- or not do –- while in office. Democrats tend to choose someone who says the right things and makes a rousing speech, is the right color and gender, has a great head of hair, and toes the line on key issues such as “reproductive justice” (we all know what that is) and transgender rights.
Anyway, Michelle “ticks all the boxes,” as they say on HGTV. (“Awesome!”) She’ll enter the race with fervent support from every area of media and culture. And if she wins in November 2020, she’ll be bringing back the same policies and corrupt power structure that were in place when her husband was President.
That, to me, would be deplorable.