Talk of a "blue wave"

August 8, 2018

If November is going to bring a “blue wave” of voters clamoring for the Democrats to take over again and bring back the good old days of high taxes, slow growth and working three part time jobs to afford a gallon of gas, then Tuesday’s elections didn’t show many signs of it. 

The left’s greatest symbolic hopes for a return to national power are still teetering on a too-close-to-call 12th district congressional race in Ohio (and just stop and think for a moment what that says about how far the Party’s fortunes have fallen.)  After a ridiculous amount of national jawboning and outside campaign donations, at this writing, Republican Troy Balderson is leading Democrat Danny O’Connor by 1754 votes (50.2%-49.3%) with about 3300 provisional and absentee ballots still to count. 


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The bad news for Republicans: this seat has been Republican for nearly 35 years and should have been safe, which shows that Republicans had better turn out and vote in November if they want to keep their majorities.  The bad news for Democrats: even with all that money, publicity, celebrity endorsements and media help on his side, even if O’Connor manages to pull out a win, it will be by half a drop, not a wave.  And he’s a candidate who promised not to vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker, which is hardly representative of the hard-left candidates the Party is saddled with elsewhere. 

Some other tea leaves, if you want to read anything into them: in the statewide races in Kansas and Missouri, the kind of non-solid blue states where the Democrats need to score wins, Republican turnout was substantially larger than Democratic turnout.  And every candidate endorsed by socialist media sensation Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez lost or is on track to lose, showing that the brave, new socialist “wave of the future” is embraced by, at most, only about one-third of the most engaged Democratic voters.  

http://www.theamericanmirror.com/socialist-star-cortez-strikes-out-all-endorsed-candidates-lose-tuesday-primaries/

At this writing, the only candidate endorsed by Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders who is even within grasp of winning is Kansas Congressional candidate Brent Welder, and he’s trailing Sharice Davids by about a point with 30% of precincts yet to be counted.  He’s only that high because the vote was split six ways, and if the trend of “progressive” support holds, he’ll probably end up with about the same one-third of the vote in a run-off election. 

Welder ran on the usual “progressive” platform of “Medicare for All” (estimated cost over 30 years, according to a new Manhattan Institute study: $218 trillion) and the kind of big hike in the minimum wage that’s putting restaurants out of business and young people out of work wherever it’s imposed.


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https://www.westernjournal.com/study-thousands-of-minnesota-teenagers-without-jobs-due-to-minimum-wage-hike/

I think it’s foolish to draw any conclusions about the general election from the primaries, but if I were forced to, I’d say Democrats do seem charged up to take back Congress, but Republicans are charged up to stop them.  If Republicans avoid getting complacent, I don’t expect Democrats to surf to victory on a giant blue wave.  

Also, the claim that “Democratic” socialism is rising in popularity with Mid-American working class voters reminds me of those stories that roll around every few years, assuring us that the next big trend in men’s fashion will be skirts for dudes. Just as there will always be some men who wear dresses, but it’s a rare few, the number of Americans who embrace socialism seems stuck on the same one-sixth or so of the population that will always vote for anybody who promises them enough free stuff.      

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More Stories

Tuesday's primary recap

Ohio 12 Update

Talk of a "blue wave"

Primary Tuesday

Comments 1-12 of 12

  • John G Gordon Sr

    08/09/2018 05:33 PM

    Mike, I believe the number of folks wanting socialism (1/6th) bodes badly for the USA. If the Constitution was still being taught correctly is our high schools, it would be much low. We need to bring back the good old days where history and civics are taught correctly

  • Glenda Kee

    08/09/2018 04:43 PM

    MIKE THIS COMENTARY HIT THE NAIL ON THE HEAD. ESPECIALLY THE VERY LAST LINE WHICH SAYS: THOSE WHO HOWEVER I BELIEVE THIS TO BE MORE THAN WILL VOTE FOR WHOM EVER PROMISES THEM THE MOST FREE STUFF. I PERSONALLY BELIEVE IT TO BE MORE THAN ONE SIXTH, OF THE VOTERS. KEEPING THAT IN MIND, I WILL CONTINUE PRAYING FOR GOD, TO HAVE THOSE WHO WILL DO HIS WILL, TO BE ELECTED. GOD IS OUR ONLY HOPE. OH BTY I AM SO PROUD OF SARAH. SHE IS SUCH A WONDERFUL ROLE MODEL FOR THE YOUNG WOMEN OF TODAY. I SINCEREY HATE THAT SHE IS HAVING TO GO THRU THE GARBAGE FROM THE LEFT. GOD BLESS YOU AND YOURS TODAY AND FOREVER. GOD BLESS AMERICA AND PRESIDENT TRUMP.

  • Arlene Hurley

    08/09/2018 03:51 PM

    Maybe the Dems are so confident that they are going to have a blue wave, is because they know the elections are rigged.

  • Arlene V. Klocek

    08/09/2018 12:51 PM

    Right on Gov. Huckabee. May the opposition and lefties know they are in trouble.
    I just read Psalm 9 today. Verse 15 &16 states, "The nations fall into the pitfalls they have dug for others. the trap they set has snapped on them.16.."The Lord is famous for the way He punishes the wicked on their own snares." Amen

  • Mary Ellen Bradley

    08/09/2018 12:12 PM

    Thank you Mike Huckabee!
    I appreciate your commentary on the headlines everyday, making the issues clear and with a touch of humor to boot!

  • John Stubbs

    08/09/2018 12:10 PM

    Hopefully the wave of votes showing the Dem's we don't want socialism will change the opinion of the ones that are moving far left. Socialism is like a bee hive,,they send out scouts to test the area, so if that one bee can get one bit of socialism back to the hive they start working on it, and because the area is full of idiots, they send hundreds of collectors to gather all the socialism they can, and the idiots say " Duh here now remember I get lots of free stuff so I don't have to work". So as the socialism gathers in the hive, it gets so full it's dripping to the ground..So the idiots are happy, they get everything provided free, so why work? now we have people who will only work part time or not at all.
    But, the people who are working, that sat by and let this happen, are starting to see their taxes go UP, it's like pulling the handle of a slot machine, $ 2% 4% 1% 6% 10% now taxes are up to 53%. They are upset, sell the boat, sell the cottage, move to a smaller house, sell one car, put kids back in public school..They are saying what happened, who did this to me? Blame somebody else ,,
    So the ones getting socialism are happy,,little or no work, kids are running the streets destroying property, shooting people, who needs education, everything is FREE!!!
    THANKS TAXPAYERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • Kathryn J Rae

    08/09/2018 11:45 AM

    The most ignorant thing that I heard Ocasio-Cortez say in an interview is that "Capitalism" never existed in the U.S. until recent years. She must have slept through high school U.S. History classes!! Our great founders whole heartedly believed in Capitalism. Someone needs to school her on the "American Dream". Work hard, study hard, save your money and ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE!

  • Robert L. Fragoman

    08/09/2018 11:45 AM

    If the Republicans want to win, they should take note of how Lamb in PA & the young lady from New York City won their races. Get out and meet the people, don't just send out mailings that get thrown in the trash. Go to places where people gather; ball parks, bowling, shopping centers, etc. Not just photo opps with C.E.O.s and other politicians. Try a President Trump style gathering, but a smaller scale. Let the voters get to know you and to get excited about you!

  • Dolores

    08/09/2018 11:40 AM

    I think we know what the plan is. Push healthcare for all through but they don’t expect it to cost all that much, because their next step is Death With Dignity, and the duty to die when you get an unfavorable prognosis. It doesn’t take an Einstein to figure that out!

  • Keet Parakeet

    08/09/2018 10:15 AM

    In Re the traditionally safe seat in Ohio near Columbus. Columbus as the state capital & the site of Ohio State University has been bluing more & more due to the OSU effect over the years. It use to be crazy only around the campus when I was around there. As professors & state bureaucrats move into the area, it blues. As to Not Safe District arguement, it's probably less a matter of over all changes in the public opinion & more a matter of more democrats moving into the neighborhood as republicans moved out (a different public expressing its opinion). Not a victory, just a moving van. The folks going out will purple or red another neighborhood/district some where else.

  • Stephen Russell

    08/09/2018 10:02 AM

    CA Fires: Blame Leftist State Govt for wildfires to date, Bad politices,No Mgmt & taxpayer foots bill.
    NO More.
    End this. Good that No CA is getting burned, need some closer to Sacramento.
    Maybe then theyll wake up.
    & then lose tourisim since Redwoods forest burned up say 30 years from now.

  • Kevin Kelly

    08/08/2018 04:59 PM

    Thanks Huck! Keep up the good work!